Saturday, 17 December 2011
Saturday, 10 December 2011
Dear States Member ,
The total resident population of Jersey revealed in our latest Census, shows that on the 27 March 2011, Jersey had a resident
population of 97,857.
The previous estimate produced and published in June of 2010, by the States Statistics Unit for the end of 2009, was 92,500.
The new figures demonstrate that in just 15 short months we have seen an increase of 5357 more people in Jersey.
The average number of births over deaths for the 5 year period 2005 to 2009 was +250. The figure for 2010 was + 270.
If births have continued at this higher number of 270 per year, we can say that the numbers of locally originating people
increase the estimated total resident population up from 92500 from Dec 2009 by a figure of 337 to a total of 92837
The number of new migrants in Jersey in those 15 months therefore is 5020.
The annual average over the 5 year period 2005-2009 was 640 people into the island per year.
These much higher numbers have occurred in a period when the global recession was well underway.
The alarming rate of increase in this short period of 15 months of 5020 new migrants is a cause for serious concern and action.
If we have continued to increase our population at the same pace in these last 8 months, as we have since 2010, then we now
have another 2677 more people living in Jersey today, that have migrated here.
With a further 8 months of births over deaths at that higher average, this adds a further 180.
This makes our current population at or around 100714.
My Information is derived from the States Statistics Department, who in the words of our last Chief MInister are
"independent, impartial and professional."
It is my estimate therefore using their Statistics, that our current resident population is 100714.
If we add a further 2052 people, which were the numbers of short term visitors here in the end of March
in this latest Census, then that gives us a total human being count, in Jersey today of, 102766.
Paul Le Claire